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    2. 当前位置: 牛股配资网 > 股票公式指标 > 2020年8月17日星期一考核行情要求及交易策略

      2020年8月17日星期一考核行情要求及交易策略

      2020-09-15 0条评论

      2020年[nian]8月[yue]17日[ri]星[xing]期[qi]一[yi]考[kao]核[he]行[xing]情[qing]要[yao]求[qiu]及[ji]交[jiao]易[yi]策[ce]略[lue]

      见[jian]面[mian]会[hui]录[lu]制[zhi]之[zhi]前[qian],我[wo]开[kai]了[liao]个[ge]“小[xiao]灶[zao]儿[er]”,说[shuo]了[liao]说[shuo]北[bei]向[xiang]资[zi]金[jin]的[de]问[wen]题[ti]。在[zai]这[zhe]些[xie],把[ba]“小[xiao]灶[zao]儿[er]”变[bian]“大[da]灶[zao]儿[er]”,再[zai]说[shuo]一[yi]遍[bian]。

      我[wo]忘[wang]了[liao]是[shi]在[zai]哪[na]儿[er]看[kan]到[dao]的[de]一[yi]种[zhong]解[jie]释[shi],说[shuo]北[bei]上[shang]资[zi]金[jin]其[qi]实[shi]就[jiu]是[shi]中[zhong]国[guo]大[da]陆[lu]的[de]散[san]户[hu]资[zi]金[jin](机[ji]构[gou]投[tou]资[zi]人[ren]在[zai]香[xiang]港[gang]开[kai]户[hu]头[tou]还[huai]有[you]法[fa]律[lv]约[yue]束[shu],起[qi]码[ma]本[ben]基[ji]金[jin]的[de]投[tou]资[zi]范[fan]围[wei]只[zhi]有[you]港[gang]股[gu]通[tong],不[bu]能[nen]直[zhi]接[jie]投[tou]资[zi]港[gang]股[gu]),绕[rao]道[dao]香[xiang]港[gang]开[kai]户[hu],加[jia]上[shang]资[zi]金[jin]杠[gong]杆[gan],再[zai]通[tong]过[guo]沪[hu]港[gang]通[tong]、深[shen]港[gang]通[tong]回[hui]过[guo]头[tou]来[lai]买[mai]大[da]陆[lu]的[de]A股[gu]。接[jie]下[xia]来[lai]为[wei]大[da]家[jia]介[jie]绍[shao]"[股[gu]票[piao]公[gong]式[shi] 获[huo]取[qu]前[qian]日[ri]期[qi]]教[jiao]你[ni]2020年[nian]8月[yue]17日[ri]星[xing]期[qi]一[yi]考[kao]核[he]行[xing]情[qing]要[yao]求[qiu]及[ji]交[jiao]易[yi]策[ce]略[lue]"有[you]兴[xing]趣[qu]的[de]伙[huo]伴[ban]们[men]来[lai]看[kan]下[xia]文[wen]
      2020年[nian]8月[yue]17日[ri]星[xing]期[qi]一[yi]考[kao]核[he]行[xing]情[qing]要[yao]求[qiu]及[ji]交[jiao]易[yi]策[ce]略[lue]

      媒[mei]体[ti]说[shuo]北[bei]上[shang]资[zi]金[jin]是[shi]“聪[cong]明[ming]”的[de]资[zi]金[jin],是[shi]什[shi]么[me]意[yi]思[si]呢[ne]?就[jiu]是[shi]说[shuo],今[jin]天[tian]大[da]涨[zhang]了[liao],北[bei]上[shang]资[zi]金[jin]流[liu]入[ru],明[ming]天[tian]大[da]跌[die],北[bei]上[shang]资[zi]金[jin]流[liu]出[chu]。

      这[zhe]是[shi]典[dian]型[xing]的[de]“傻[sha]瓜[gua]”的[de]资[zi]金[jin],一[yi]点[dian]也[ye]不[bu]“聪[cong]明[ming]”。如[ru]果[guo]是[shi]今[jin]天[tian]大[da]跌[die],它[ta]流[liu]入[ru],明[ming]天[tian]大[da]涨[zhang]它[ta]流[liu]出[chu],这[zhe]才[cai]有[you]点[dian]儿[er]“聪[cong]明[ming]”劲[jing]儿[er]。

      所[suo]以[yi],这[zhe]就[jiu]是[shi]穿[chuan]了[liao]马[ma]甲[jia]的[de]短[duan]线[xian]投[tou]机[ji]资[zi]金[jin]为[wei]主[zhu]的[de]中[zhong]国[guo]大[da]陆[lu]本[ben]土[tu]资[zi]金[jin]。

      注[zhu]意[yi],我[wo]说[shuo]的[de]是[shi]“为[wei]主[zhu]”。我[wo]当[dang]然[ran]相[xiang]信[xin],北[bei]上[shang]资[zi]金[jin]里[li]会[hui]有[you]港[gang]资[zi]买[mai]入[ru]A股[gu],但[dan]是[shi],占[zhan]比[bi]有[you]多[duo]大[da]?中[zhong]国[guo]A股[gu]的[de]估[gu]值[zhi]和[he]潜[qian]力[li],强[qiang]于[yu]港[gang]股[gu]的[de]有[you]多[duo]少[shao]?如[ru]果[guo]是[shi]“聪[cong]明[ming]”的[de]资[zi]金[jin],为[wei]了[liao]短[duan]线[xian]投[tou]机[ji],做[zuo]香[xiang]港[gang]的[de]涡[wo]轮[lun]是[shi]不[bu]是[shi]比[bi]玩[wan]儿[er]半[ban]死[si]不[bu]活[huo]的[de]A股[gu]要[yao]痛[tong]快[kuai]?

      所[suo]以[yi],只[zhi]有[you]两[liang]眼[yan]死[si]盯[ding]A股[gu]的[de]散[san]户[hu]投[tou]机[ji]客[ke],才[cai]会[hui]愿[yuan]意[yi]去[qu]香[xiang]港[gang]开[kai]户[hu],加[jia]上[shang]杠[gong]杆[gan]玩[wan]儿[er]A股[gu]。

      我[wo]觉[jue]的[de],这[zhe]或[huo]许[xu]才[cai]是[shi]所[suo]谓[wei]北[bei]上[shang]资[zi]金[jin]的[de]真[zhen]相[xiang]。

      所[suo]以[yi],北[bei]上[shang]资[zi]金[jin]的[de]表[biao]现[xian]出[chu]来[lai]的[de]谨[jin]慎[shen],只[zhi]是[shi]说[shuo]明[ming]短[duan]线[xian]资[zi]金[jin]有[you]些[xie]不[bu]相[xiang]信[xin]行[xing]情[qing]要[yao]上[shang]涨[zhang]了[liao]。

      但[dan]是[shi],我[wo]们[men]仍[reng]然[ran]要[yao]把[ba]行[xing]情[qing]的[de]多[duo]种[zhong]浪[lang]形[xing]路[lu]径[jing]考[kao]虑[lv]周[zhou]全[quan]。

      “黄[huang]浪[lang]”暂[zan]且[qie]保[bao]留[liu],其[qi]实[shi]3288点[dian]之[zhi]后[hou],已[yi]经[jing]给[gei]它[ta]“降[jiang]级[ji]”了[liao],有[you]些[xie]时[shi]候[hou]已[yi]经[jing]不[bu]再[zai]画[hua]它[ta]了[liao]。但[dan]今[jin]年[nian]的[de]“疯[feng]快[kuai]牛[niu]”又[you]起[qi],就[jiu]把[ba]它[ta]再[zai]“请[qing]”了[liao]回[hui]来[lai]。加[jia]之[zhi]它[ta]和[he]“红[hong]浪[lang]”有[you]一[yi]段[duan]重[zhong]合[he]浪[lang]的[de]关[guan]系[xi]。

      “红[hong]浪[lang]”是[shi]现[xian]在[zai]最[zui]有[you]利[li]于[yu]多[duo]头[tou]的[de]走[zou]势[shi],但[dan]只[zhi]是[shi]短[duan]期[qi]有[you]利[li]。这[zhe]样[yang]的[de]上[shang]涨[zhang],说[shuo]是[shi]无[wu]根[gen]之[zhi]草[cao]也[ye]好[hao],说[shuo]是[shi]德[de]不[bu]配[pei]位[wei]也[ye]罢[ba],总[zong]之[zhi],会[hui]推[tui]迟[chi]真[zhen]正[zheng]的[de]牛[niu]市[shi]到[dao]来[lai]。除[chu]非[fei]真[zhen]的[de]走[zou]成[cheng]“黄[huang]浪[lang]”的[de]样[yang]子[zi]。但[dan]估[gu]计[ji]很[hen]难[nan],很[hen]难[nan]。

      “蓝[lan]浪[lang]”是[shi]概[gai]率[lv]较[jiao]大[da]的[de]一[yi]波[bo],就[jiu]是[shi]近[jin]期[qi]一[yi]直[zhi]在[zai]说[shuo]的[de]“如[ru]意[yi]算[suan]盘[pan]”。

      “蓝[lan]浪[lang]”之[zhi]所[suo]以[yi]说[shuo]概[gai]率[lv]大[da],是[shi]因[yin]为[wei]它[ta]与[yu]“绿[lv]浪[lang]”又[you]有[you]重[zhong]合[he]浪[lang]关[guan]系[xi]。

      现[xian]在[zai]到[dao]了[liao]“非[fei]牛[niu]即[ji]熊[xiong]”的[de]分[fen]水[shui]岭[ling]时[shi]刻[ke],再[zai]走[zou]“病[bing]慢[man]牛[niu]”、“死[si]牛[niu]皮[pi]”的[de]可[ke]能[nen]性[xing]不[bu]太[tai]大[da]了[liao]。尽[jin]管[guan]这[zhe]两[liang]三[san]周[zhou],有[you]点[dian]“死[si]牛[niu]皮[pi]”的[de]意[yi]思[si],但[dan]我[wo]认[ren]为[wei]这[zhe]是[shi]大[da]战[zhan]前[qian]夜[ye]的[de]沉[chen]静[jing]。

      另[ling]外[wai]补[bu]充[chong]说[shuo]明[ming]一[yi]下[xia],“蓝[lan]浪[lang]”、“绿[lv]浪[lang]”做[zuo]了[liao]些[xie]调[diao]整[zheng]。不[bu]懂[dong]、不[bu]习[xi]惯[guan]、不[bu]喜[xi]欢[huan]波[bo]浪[lang]理[li]论[lun]语[yu]言[yan]的[de],可[ke]以[yi]不[bu]必[bi]看[kan]下[xia]面[mian]的[de]解[jie]释[shi]了[liao],直[zhi]接[jie]看[kan]上[shang]面[mian]的[de]“画[hua]儿[er]”就[jiu]可[ke]以[yi]了[liao],那[na]是[shi]结[jie]论[lun]。

      以[yi]波[bo]浪[lang]理[li]论[lun]语[yu]言[yan]描[miao]述[shu]行[xing]情[qing],“蓝[lan]浪[lang]”已[yi]经[jing]不[bu]把[ba]2440以[yi]来[lai]当[dang]作[zuo]C4浪[lang],而[er]是[shi]一[yi]个[ge]B浪[lang],5178跌[die]到[dao]2638,又[you]涨[zhang]到[dao]3587,再[zai]跌[die]到[dao]2440是[shi]一[yi]个[ge]三[san]段[duan]式[shi]的[de]A浪[lang]。如[ru]果[guo]说[shuo]5178跌[die]到[dao]2638是[shi]A浪[lang],之[zhi]后[hou]的[de]震[zhen]荡[dang],也[ye]就[jiu]是[shi]说[shuo]这[zhe]几[ji]年[nian]的[de]“无[wu]趋[qu]势[shi]、弱[ruo]市[shi]震[zhen]荡[dang]”行[xing]情[qing]全[quan]是[shi]B浪[lang],也[ye]行[xing]。反[fan]正[zheng]现[xian]在[zai]是[shi]把[ba]这[zhe]个[ge]B浪[lang]反[fan]弹[dan]走[zou]完[wan],就[jiu]该[gai]跌[die]一[yi]个[ge]C浪[lang],这[zhe]是[shi]牛[niu]市[shi]前[qian]的[de]最[zui]后[hou]一[yi]跌[die]。

      “绿[lv]浪[lang]”也[ye]有[you]调[diao]整[zheng],因[yin]为[wei]目[mu]前[qian]还[huai]没[mei]突[tu]破[po]3587点[dian],那[na]么[me]以[yi]3587点[dian]为[wei]起[qi]点[dian]的[de]C浪[lang]就[jiu]仍[reng]然[ran]成[cheng]立[li]。2440点[dian]以[yi]来[lai]的[de]反[fan]弹[dan]是[shi]C浪[lang]2,由[you]于[yu]这[zhe]个[ge]C浪[lang]2太[tai]长[chang]了[liao],于[yu]是[shi],C3、C4、C5都[du]需[xu]要[yao]时[shi]间[jian],所[suo]以[yi],这[zhe]也[ye]许[xu]就[jiu]要[yao]走[zou]一[yi]个[ge]时[shi]间[jian]较[jiao]长[chang]的[de]熊[xiong]市[shi]了[liao]。

      “绿[lv]浪[lang]”的[de]熊[xiong]市[shi],和[he]医[yi]学[xue]面[mian]、宏[hong]观[guan]经[jing]济[ji]面[mian]是[shi]合[he]拍[pai]的[de],但[dan]是[shi]政[zheng]策[ce]面[mian]和[he]心[xin]理[li]面[mian]以[yi]及[ji]资[zi]金[jin]面[mian],能[nen]不[bu]能[nen]允[yun]许[xu]?那[na]就[jiu]不[bu]知[zhi]道[dao]了[liao]。

      这[zhe]“四[si]浪[lang]图[tu]”迟[chi]早[zao]会[hui]被[bei]淘[tao]汰[tai],但[dan]我[wo]也[ye]没[mei]想[xiang]到[dao]从[cong]2019年[nian]推[tui]出[chu]到[dao]如[ru]今[jin],一[yi]直[zhi]没[mei]走[zou]出[chu]它[ta]的[de]圈[quan]子[zi]。

      大[da]局[ju]观[guan],其[qi]实[shi]也[ye]没[mei]必[bi]要[yao]常[chang]变[bian]。常[chang]变[bian]的[de],也[ye]就[jiu]不[bu]是[shi]大[da]局[ju]观[guan]了[liao]。

      说[shuo]小[xiao]局[ju]观[guan],目[mu]前[qian]行[xing]情[qing]真[zhen]的[de]在[zai]十[shi]字[zi]路[lu]口[kou]上[shang],而[er]且[qie]不[bu]排[pai]除[chu]在[zai]一[yi]日[ri]之[zhi]内[na]就[jiu]有[you]“翻[fan]天[tian]覆[fu]地[di]”的[de]变[bian]化[hua]。

      周[zhou]五[wu]的[de]行[xing]情[qing],就[jiu]有[you]点[dian]儿[er]这[zhe]个[ge]意[yi]思[si]。上[shang]午[wu],还[huai]在[zai]挣[zheng]扎[zha],甚[shen]至[zhi]于[yu]有[you]要[yao]向[xiang]下[xia]破[po]位[wei]的[de]意[yi]思[si]。可[ke]是[shi],尾[wei]市[shi]就[jiu]突[tu]然[ran]拉[la]起[qi]来[lai],分[fen]时[shi]图[tu]上[shang]“好[hao]一[yi]派[pai]牛[niu]市[shi]风[feng]光[guang]”。

      在[zai]写[xie]下[xia]面[mian]的[de]“做[zuo]法[fa]”之[zhi]前[qian],先[xian]做[zuo]一[yi]个[ge]“应[ying]用[yong]提[ti]示[shi]”:

      一[yi]、二[er]、三[san]的[de]考[kao]核[he],甚[shen]至[zhi]于[yu]都[du]不[bu]是[shi]针[zhen]对[dui]一[yi]天[tian],可[ke]能[nen]是[shi]只[zhi]针[zhen]对[dui]一[yi]个[ge]小[xiao]时[shi]。第[di]一[yi]个[ge]小[xiao]时[shi]是[shi]“一[yi]”,那[na]就[jiu]按[an]“一[yi]”操[cao]作[zuo],接[jie]下[xia]来[lai]进[jin]入[ru]“二[er]”就[jiu]按[an]“二[er]”的[de]策[ce]略[lue]行[xing]事[shi],尾[wei]市[shi]进[jin]入[ru]“三[san]”,那[na]就[jiu]继[ji]续[xu]执[zhi]行[xing]“三[san]”的[de]策[ce]略[lue]。

      不[bu]是[shi]说[shuo]行[xing]情[qing]变[bian]化[hua]快[kuai]了[liao],而[er]是[shi]行[xing]情[qing]正[zheng]在[zai]“摇[yao]头[tou]摆[bai]尾[wei]”的[de]选[xuan]择[ze]中[zhong],但[dan]总[zong]会[hui]选[xuan]出[chu]方[fang]向[xiang]。

      黄[huang]、红[hong],就[jiu]是[shi]大[da]涨[zhang]的[de]子[zi]浪[lang],蓝[lan]、绿[lv],就[jiu]是[shi]大[da]跌[die]的[de]子[zi]浪[lang],“病[bing]慢[man]牛[niu]”、“死[si]牛[niu]皮[pi]”仍[reng]会[hui]出[chu]现[xian],但[dan]不[bu]会[hui]像[xiang]过[guo]去[qu]那[na]样[yang]占[zhan]用[yong]太[tai]多[duo]的[de]时[shi]间[jian]。

      现[xian]在[zai]“死[si]牛[niu]皮[pi]”已[yi]经[jing]三[san]周[zhou]了[liao],恐[kong]怕[pa]到[dao]了[liao]极[ji]限[xian]了[liao]。

      上[shang]周[zhou],刘[liu]子[zi]股[gu]斋[zhai]旗[qi]下[xia]基[ji]金[jin]净[jing]值[zhi]变[bian]化[hua]不[bu]大[da]。主[zhu]要[yao]是[shi]周[zhou]五[wu]最[zui]后[hou]一[yi]小[xiao]时[shi]的[de]“破[po]坏[huai]”。要[yao]看[kan]图[tu]吗[ma]?去[qu]见[jian]面[mian]会[hui]看[kan],但[dan]别[bie]白[bai]看[kan]。打[da]赏[shang]、点[dian]广[guang]告[gao],都[du]行[xing]。嘿[hei]嘿[hei]!字[zi]里[li]行[xing]间[jian]流[liu]露[lu]出[chu]刘[liu]子[zi]阴[yin]险[xian]的[de]笑[xiao]。

      刘[liu]子[zi]股[gu]斋[zhai]的[de]策[ce]略[lue]是[shi]不[bu]变[bian]的[de],就[jiu]是[shi]捕[bu]捉[zhuo]趋[qu]势[shi],周[zhou]月[yue]线[xian]可[ke]见[jian]波[bo]段[duan]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]。

      什[shi]么[me]是[shi]趋[qu]势[shi]?教[jiao]科[ke]书[shu]上[shang]的[de]定[ding]义[yi]我[wo]就[jiu]不[bu]说[shuo]了[liao],我[wo]就[jiu]拿[na]历[li]史[shi]上[shang]的[de]行[xing]情[qing]来[lai]举[ju]例[li]。

      2006、2007年[nian]的[de]上[shang]涨[zhang]是[shi]趋[qu]势[shi],2009年[nian]是[shi]趋[qu]势[shi],2015年[nian]是[shi]趋[qu]势[shi]。2018年[nian]也[ye]是[shi]趋[qu]势[shi],只[zhi]不[bu]过[guo]是[shi]下[xia]跌[die]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi],2008年[nian]也[ye]是[shi]下[xia]跌[die]趋[qu]势[shi]。2016年[nian]、2017年[nian]以[yi]及[ji]2019年[nian]到[dao]如[ru]今[jin],没[mei]有[you]趋[qu]势[shi]。

      趋[qu]势[shi]是[shi]又[you]容[rong]易[yi]发[fa]现[xian],又[you]容[rong]易[yi]捕[bu]捉[zhuo]的[de],只[zhi]是[shi]需[xu]要[yao]等[deng]待[dai]。

      过[guo]去[qu],要[yao]等[deng]牛[niu]市[shi],因[yin]为[wei]没[mei]有[you]双[shuang]边[bian]交[jiao]易[yi]的[de]机[ji]制[zhi]。现[xian]在[zai],有[you]了[liao]期[qi]指[zhi]和[he]融[rong]券[quan],等[deng]熊[xiong]市[shi]也[ye]可[ke]以[yi]。我[wo]上[shang]面[mian]画[hua]的[de]“如[ru]意[yi]算[suan]盘[pan]”,就[jiu]是[shi]熊[xiong]市[shi]。

      说[shuo]“怎[zen]么[me]做[zuo]”的[de]正[zheng]题[ti]吧[ba]!别[bie]忘[wang]了[liao]上[shang]面[mian]的[de]应[ying]用[yong]提[ti]示[shi]。

      买[mai]入[ru]或[huo]持[chi]有[you]股[gu]数[shu]=计[ji]划[hua]亏[kui]损[sun]金[jin]额[e]÷(买[mai]入[ru]价[jia]或[huo]现[xian]价[jia]-止[zhi]损[sun]价[jia]或[huo]算[suan]仓[cang]价[jia])

      星[xing]期[qi]一[yi]考[kao]核[he]行[xing]情[qing]要[yao]求[qiu]及[ji]交[jiao]易[yi]策[ce]略[lue]如[ru]下[xia]:

      一[yi],股[gu]票[piao]账[zhang]户[hu]净[jing]值[zhi]大[da]涨[zhang]。或[huo]目[mu]标[biao]个[ge]股[gu]出[chu]现[xian]突[tu]破[po]或[huo]趋[qu]势[shi]明[ming]朗[lang]的[de]特[te]征[zheng]。或[huo]个[ge]股[gu]普[pu]涨[zhang],涨[zhang]停[ting]家[jia]数[shu]大[da]于[yu]300家[jia],下[xia]跌[die]家[jia]数[shu]不[bu]足[zu]50家[jia]。上[shang]证[zheng]指[zhi]数[shu]、沪[hu]深[shen]300指[zhi]数[shu]、上[shang]证[zheng]50指[zhi]数[shu]、中[zhong]证[zheng]500指[zhi]数[shu]大[da]涨[zhang]放[fang]量[liang];大[da]涨[zhang]是[shi]“高[gao]开[kai]高[gao]走[zou],推[tui]动[dong]浪[lang]特[te]征[zheng]明[ming]显[xian]”,同[tong]时[shi]包[bao]括[kuo]“假[jia]跳[tiao]水[shui]后[hou]快[kuai]速[su]拉[la]升[sheng],进[jin]入[ru]上[shang]涨[zhang]推[tui]动[dong]浪[lang]”,“低[di]开[kai]后[hou]一[yi]路[lu]高[gao]走[zou]”,“震[zhen]荡[dang]后[hou]加[jia]速[su]上[shang]涨[zhang]”,等[deng]等[deng]明[ming]显[xian]有[you]进[jin]入[ru]“黄[huang]浪[lang]”、“红[hong]浪[lang]”的[de]细[xi]节[jie]特[te]征[zheng]。各[ge]自[zi]为[wei]战[zhan],独[du]立[li]考[kao]核[he]。

      如[ru]果[guo]行[xing]情[qing]如[ru]是[shi],那[na]么[me]我[wo]们[men]认[ren]为[wei],中[zhong]国[guo]股[gu]市[shi]是[shi]一[yi]个[ge]神[shen]奇[qi]的[de]地[di]方[fang],与[yu]基[ji]本[ben]面[mian]完[wan]全[quan]不[bu]相[xiang]关[guan]的[de]牛[niu]市[shi],2000年[nian]以[yi]来[lai],或[huo]2245点[dian]以[yi]来[lai],就[jiu]没[mei]有[you]过[guo]了[liao]。

      但[dan]是[shi],这[zhe]种[zhong]只[zhi]讲[jiang]涨[zhang]跌[die]强[qiang]弱[ruo],不[bu]强[qiang]估[gu]值[zhi]高[gao]低[di]的[de]“游[you]戏[xi]规[gui]则[ze]”,倒[dao]是[shi]我[wo]最[zui]熟[shu]悉[xi]的[de],比[bi]后[hou]来[lai]的[de]“价[jia]值[zhi]投[tou]资[zi]游[you]戏[xi]”更[geng]熟[shu]悉[xi]。

      也[ye]许[xu],创[chuang]业[ye]板[ban]涨[zhang]跌[die]停[ting]幅[fu]度[du]放[fang]大[da]到[dao]20%可[ke]以[yi]当[dang]利[li]好[hao]理[li]解[jie]。也[ye]就[jiu]是[shi]说[shuo],人[ren]人[ren]都[du]想[xiang]着[zhou]“现[xian]在[zai]买[mai]股[gu]票[piao],等[deng]到[dao]注[zhu]册[ce]制[zhi]开[kai]始[shi]后[hou],拉[la]一[yi]个[ge]20%的[de]涨[zhang]停[ting]板[ban]就[jiu]跑[pao]了[liao]。就[jiu]算[suan]跌[die]了[liao]10%左[zuo]右[you],只[zhi]要[yao]累[lei]计[ji]不[bu]到[dao]20%,到[dao]了[liao]注[zhu]册[ce]制[zhi]的[de]时[shi]候[hou],一[yi]个[ge]20%的[de]涨[zhang]停[ting]就[jiu]解[jie]套[tao]获[huo]利[li]了[liao]”。

      但[dan]是[shi],在[zai]这[zhe]种[zhong]心[xin]理[li]作[zuo]用[yong]下[xia]形[xing]成[cheng]的[de]上[shang]涨[zhang],是[shi]不[bu]结[jie]实[shi]的[de]。

      最[zui]结[jie]实[shi]的[de]逻[luo]辑[ji]是[shi]“价[jia]值[zhi]与[yu]供[gong]求[qiu]”,也[ye]就[jiu]是[shi]上[shang]市[shi]公[gong]司[si]价[jia]值[zhi]的[de]高[gao]低[di]?资[zi]金[jin]和[he]筹[chou]码[ma]之[zhi]间[jian]的[de]供[gong]求[qiu]关[guan]系[xi]如[ru]何[he]?

      注[zhu]册[ce]制[zhi]会[hui]有[you]大[da]量[liang]的[de]公[gong]司[si]上[shang]市[shi],包[bao]括[kuo]暂[zan]不[bu]获[huo]利[li]的[de]公[gong]司[si],这[zhe]是[shi]“以[yi]直[zhi]接[jie]融[rong]资[zi]为[wei]目[mu]标[biao]”的[de]公[gong]司[si]。还[huai]会[hui]有[you]大[da]量[liang]的[de]业[ye]绩[ji]差[cha]的[de]现[xian]有[you]公[gong]司[si]要[yao]退[tui]市[shi],不[bu]会[hui]像[xiang]现[xian]在[zai]这[zhe]样[yang]扭[niu]扭[niu]捏[nie]捏[nie]了[liao]。这[zhe]些[xie]都[du]是[shi]利[li]空[kong]因[yin]素[su]!

      所[suo]以[yi],要[yao]想[xiang]走[zou]上[shang]个[ge]世[shi]纪[ji]的[de]与[yu]宏[hong]观[guan]经[jing]济[ji]无[wu]关[guan]乃[nai]至[zhi]相[xiang]反[fan]的[de]牛[niu]市[shi],就[jiu]需[xu]要[yao]坚[jian]决[jue]的[de]上[shang]涨[zhang],热[re]情[qing]的[de]放[fang]量[liang],不[bu]能[nen]出[chu]现[xian]任[ren]何[he]打[da]散[san]人[ren]气[qi]的[de]回[hui]落[luo]。乃[nai]至[zhi]于[yu]这[zhe]种[zhong]特[te]征[zheng],在[zai]分[fen]钟[zhong]图[tu]上[shang]也[ye]要[yao]得[de]以[yi]体[ti]现[xian]。七[qi]月[yue]初[chu]的[de]上[shang]涨[zhang]有[you]点[dian]儿[er]这[zhe]个[ge]劲[jing]头[tou],现[xian]在[zai]要[yao]坚[jian]决[jue]恢[hui]复[fu]。

      只[zhi]有[you]这[zhe]样[yang],才[cai]能[nen]让[rang]人[ren]想[xiang]不[bu]起[qi]来[lai]什[shi]么[me]是[shi]基[ji]本[ben]面[mian],眼[yan]前[qian]只[zhi]是[shi]一[yi]片[pian]上[shang]涨[zhang]的[de]红[hong],这[zhe]才[cai]算[suan]达[da]标[biao]。

      操[cao]作[zuo]上[shang]:

      本[ben]基[ji]金[jin]减[jian]仓[cang]、清[qing]仓[cang]期[qi]指[zhi]空[kong]单[dan],但[dan]不[bu]要[yao]急[ji]于[yu]空[kong]翻[fan]多[duo],等[deng]下[xia]一[yi]次[ci]明[ming]确[que]的[de]上[shang]涨[zhang]趋[qu]势[shi]。如[ru]果[guo]考[kao]虑[lv]日[ri]内[na]短[duan]线[xian]空[kong]翻[fan]多[duo],但[dan]要[yao]慎[shen]重[zhong]。

      减[jian]仓[cang]、清[qing]仓[cang]也[ye]可[ke]以[yi]用[yong]“日[ri]内[na]短[duan]线[xian]的[de]方[fang]式[shi]”来[lai]完[wan]成[cheng]任[ren]务[wu]。因[yin]为[wei]走[zou]成[cheng]“红[hong]浪[lang]”的[de]模[mo]样[yang],不[bu]是[shi]一[yi]蹴[zu]而[er]就[jiu]的[de],在[zai]分[fen]钟[zhong]图[tu]上[shang]还[huai]会[hui]有[you]反[fan]复[fu],反[fan]复[fu]之[zhi]后[hou]会[hui]给[gei]出[chu]足[zu]够[gou]的[de]“红[hong]浪[lang]”证[zheng]据[ju],到[dao]时[shi]候[hou]再[zai]空[kong]翻[fan]多[duo]也[ye]不[bu]迟[chi]。

      现[xian]在[zai]减[jian]仓[cang]、清[qing]仓[cang],都[du]是[shi]为[wei]了[liao]避[bi]险[xian],不[bu]是[shi]为[wei]了[liao]逐[zhu]利[li]。

      这[zhe]样[yang]的[de]避[bi]险[xian]做[zuo]多[duo]策[ce]略[lue],相[xiang]对[dui]来[lai]说[shuo]也[ye]比[bi]较[jiao]“轻[qing]松[song]”。因[yin]为[wei]平[ping]空[kong]或[huo]开[kai]多[duo]锁[suo]仓[cang]之[zhi]后[hou],并[bing]没[mei]有[you]持[chi]有[you]或[huo]增[zeng]加[jia]“净[jing]多[duo]”,只[zhi]是[shi]停[ting]止[zhi]或[huo]放[fang]缓[huan]了[liao]净[jing]值[zhi]回[hui]撤[che]的[de]速[su]度[du],只[zhi]要[yao]不[bu]再[zai]更[geng]低[di]的[de]点[dian]位[wei]回[hui]补[bu]空[kong]单[dan],就[jiu]可[ke]以[yi]达[da]到[dao]目[mu]的[de]。

      也[ye]就[jiu]是[shi]说[shuo],平[ping]空[kong]的[de]价[jia]格[ge]之[zhi]上[shang],任[ren]何[he]一[yi]个[ge]点[dian]位[wei],都[du]可[ke]以[yi]作[zuo]为[wei]回[hui]补[bu]的[de]机[ji]会[hui]。哪[na]怕[pa]是[shi]冲[chong]高[gao]了[liao]100点[dian]之[zhi]后[hou]又[you]回[hui]落[luo]到[dao]平[ping]空[kong]的[de]成[cheng]交[jiao]价[jia]一[yi]带[dai],补[bu]回[hui],也[ye]在[zai]这[zhe]个[ge]过[guo]程[cheng]中[zhong]回[hui]避[bi]掉[diao]了[liao]100个[ge]点[dian]的[de]风[feng]险[xian]。

      如[ru]果[guo]后[hou]悔[hui]踏[ta]空[kong]这[zhe]100个[ge]点[dian]多[duo]头[tou]利[li]润[run],那[na]也[ye]是[shi]看[kan]着[zhou]右[you]边[bian]后[hou]悔[hui]左[zuo]边[bian]的[de]错[cuo]觉[jue]。因[yin]为[wei]直[zhi]接[jie]上[shang]涨[zhang]的[de]概[gai]率[lv]不[bu]大[da],就[jiu]算[suan]七[qi]月[yue]初[chu]的[de]行[xing]情[qing]重[zhong]演[yan],“概[gai]率[lv]不[bu]大[da]”的[de]行[xing]情[qing]成[cheng]为[wei]已[yi]经[jing]发[fa]生[sheng]的[de]现[xian]实[shi],到[dao]时[shi]候[hou]再[zai]相[xiang]机[ji]做[zuo]多[duo]不[bu]迟[chi]。

      所[suo]以[yi],日[ri]内[na]短[duan]线[xian]的[de]原[yuan]则[ze],是[shi]为[wei]做[zuo]空[kong]服[fu]务[wu]的[de]。

      近[jin]日[ri]在[zai]看[kan]《世[shi]界[jie]首[shou]富[fu]沃[wo]伦[lun]巴[ba]菲[fei]特[te]传[chuan]》,有[you]记[ji]者[zhe]问[wen]他[ta]的[de]老[lao]师[shi]格[ge]雷[lei]厄[e]姆[mu],大[da]意[yi]是[shi],你[ni]1美[mei]元[yuan]买[mai]入[ru]了[liao]投[tou]资[zi]价[jia]值[zhi]为[wei]3美[mei]元[yuan]的[de]股[gu]票[piao],保[bao]证[zheng]它[ta]能[nen]从[cong]1美[mei]元[yuan]涨[zhang]到[dao]3美[mei]元[yuan],是[shi]靠[kao]宣[xuan]传[chuan]告[gao]诉[su]别[bie]人[ren]该[gai]股[gu]的[de]价[jia]值[zhi]吗[ma]?格[ge]雷[lei]厄[e]姆[mu]的[de]回[hui]答[da]很[hen]老[lao]实[shi],他[ta]说[shuo]不[bu]知[zhi]道[dao],但[dan]在[zai]股[gu]市[shi]里[li],这[zhe]种[zhong]神[shen]奇[qi]的[de]事[shi]情[qing]总[zong]会[hui]发[fa]生[sheng]。

      这[zhe]种[zhong]“神[shen]奇[qi]的[de]事[shi]情[qing]”,不[bu]仅[jin]仅[jin]是[shi]支[zhi]持[chi]多[duo]头[tou],同[tong]样[yang]也[ye]支[zhi]持[chi]空[kong]头[tou]。2015年[nian]以[yi]来[lai],刘[liu]子[zi]股[gu]斋[zhai]其[qi]实[shi]一[yi]直[zhi]在[zai]遵[zun]循[xun]着[zhou]这[zhe]种[zhong]价[jia]值[zhi]投[tou]资[zi]规[gui]律[lv]在[zai]做[zuo]交[jiao]易[yi]。

      也[ye]许[xu]绝[jue]大[da]多[duo]数[shu]人[ren]对[dui]价[jia]值[zhi]投[tou]资[zi]的[de]理[li]解[jie],就[jiu]是[shi]在[zai]5元[yuan]时[shi]买[mai]入[ru]价[jia]值[zhi]10元[yuan]的[de]股[gu]票[piao],跌[die]到[dao]2元[yuan]也[ye]死[si]捂[wu],不[bu]见[jian]10元[yuan]不[bu]离[li]手[shou]。可[ke]以[yi]!这[zhe]是[shi]价[jia]值[zhi]投[tou]资[zi]。但[dan]是[shi],在[zai]20元[yuan]做[zuo]空[kong]只[zhi]值[zhi]2元[yuan]的[de]资[zi]产[chan],难[nan]道[dao]也[ye]不[bu]是[shi]价[jia]值[zhi]投[tou]资[zi]吗[ma]?

      其[qi]实[shi]这[zhe]不[bu]是[shi]我[wo]第[di]一[yi]次[ci]提[ti]到[dao],甚[shen]至[zhi]在[zai]国[guo]际[ji]上[shang]也[ye]不[bu]是[shi]什[shi]么[me]“新[xin]概[gai]念[nian]”。泰[tai]铢[zhu]的[de]泡[pao]沫[mo],被[bei]吾[wu]友[you]索[suo]公[gong]讳[hui]上[shang]罗[luo]下[xia]斯[si]先[xian]生[sheng]给[gei]做[zuo]空[kong],变[bian]成[cheng]利[li]润[run]了[liao];瑞[rui]幸[xing]咖[ka]啡[fei]的[de]财[cai]务[wu]造[zao]假[jia],被[bei]刘[liu]子[zi]股[gu]斋[zhai]海[hai]外[wai]同[tong]伙[huo]“浑[hun]水[shui]”给[gei]干[gan]掉[diao]了[liao]。这[zhe]就[jiu]是[shi]例[li]子[zi]。

      所[suo]以[yi],目[mu]前[qian]对[dui]中[zhong]国[guo]股[gu]市[shi]的[de]结[jie]构[gou]化[hua]牛[niu]市[shi],保[bao]持[chi]清[qing]醒[xing]。做[zuo]空[kong]为[wei]主[zhu],直[zhi]到[dao]价[jia]值[zhi]洼[wa]地[di]。做[zuo]多[duo]慎[shen]重[zhong],除[chu]非[fei]走[zou]出[chu]中[zhong]国[guo]股[gu]市[shi]“少[shao]年[nian]时[shi]”的[de]行[xing]情[qing]。

      中[zhong]国[guo]股[gu]市[shi]长[chang]大[da]了[liao],已[yi]经[jing]是[shi]三[san]十[shi]岁[sui]的[de]“成[cheng]年[nian]人[ren]”了[liao],尽[jin]管[guan]股[gu]市[shi]中[zhong]人[ren]依[yi]旧[jiu]幼[you]稚[zhi]。

      个[ge]股[gu]方[fang]面[mian],暂[zan]不[bu]开[kai]仓[cang],选[xuan]股[gu]为[wei]主[zhu]。

      个[ge]股[gu]在[zai]30日[ri]线[xian]之[zhi]下[xia]运[yun]行[xing]的[de]有[you]少[shao]一[yi]半[ban],四[si]成[cheng]多[duo]。这[zhe]真[zhen]不[bu]是[shi]牛[niu]回[hui]头[tou]的[de]味[wei]道[dao]。

      况[kuang]且[qie],这[zhe]不[bu]是[shi]刚[gang]刚[gang]启[qi]动[dong]后[hou]的[de]第[di]一[yi]次[ci]牛[niu]回[hui]头[tou],这[zhe]是[shi]已[yi]经[jing]涨[zhang]了[liao]一[yi]年[nian]又[you]八[ba]个[ge]月[yue]的[de]“结[jie]构[gou]牛[niu]市[shi]”、“局[ju]部[bu]牛[niu]市[shi]”,大[da]面[mian]积[ji]个[ge]股[gu]破[po]30日[ri]线[xian],这[zhe]是[shi]好[hao]兆[zhao]头[tou]吗[ma]?

      所[suo]以[yi],暂[zan]不[bu]开[kai]仓[cang]买[mai]股[gu]票[piao]。下[xia]“二[er]”、“三[san]”同[tong],不[bu]复[fu]制[zhi]了[liao]。

      空[kong]仓[cang]者[zhe]暂[zan]不[bu]开[kai]仓[cang]为[wei]上[shang],参[can]照[zhao]本[ben]基[ji]金[jin]个股票公式 获取前日期[ge]股[gu]策[ce]略[lue]。

      但[dan]如[ru]果[guo]目[mu]标[biao]品[pin]种[zhong]是[shi]强[qiang]市[shi]品[pin]种[zhong],而[er]且[qie]有[you]计[ji]划[hua]亏[kui]损[sun]额[e]可[ke]用[yong],加[jia]之[zhi]目[mu]标[biao]个[ge]股[gu]又[you]处[chu]于[yu]主[zhu]升[sheng]浪[lang]刚[gang]刚[gang]开[kai]始[shi]的[de]阶[jie]段[duan],那[na]就[jiu]开[kai]仓[cang]吧[ba]!

      注[zhu]意[yi]算[suan]仓[cang]价[jia]要[yao]远[yuan],计[ji]划[hua]亏[kui]损[sun]额[e]要[yao]少[shao]。这[zhe]个[ge]“远[yuan]”和[he]“少[shao]”,无[wu]法[fa]给[gei]出[chu]刚[gang]性[xing]的[de]数[shu]值[zhi],自[zi]己[ji]觉[jue]的[de]“该[gai]股[gu]能[nen]跌[die]到[dao]这[zhe]个[ge]价[jia]格[ge]我[wo]就[jiu]死[si]去[qu]”,这[zhe]样[yang]的[de]价[jia]格[ge]作[zuo]为[wei]算[suan]仓[cang]价[jia]比[bi]较[jiao]合[he]适[shi]。自[zi]己[ji]觉[jue]的[de]“赔[pei]掉[diao]这[zhe]些[xie]钱[qian]我[wo]顶[ding]多[duo]一[yi]顿[dun]饭[fan]吃[chi]不[bu]下[xia]去[qu],但[dan]喝[he]上[shang]一[yi]杯[bei]就[jiu]全[quan]忘[wang]了[liao]”,这[zhe]样[yang]的[de]计[ji]划[hua]亏[kui]损[sun]额[e]量[liang]就[jiu]比[bi]较[jiao]合[he]适[shi]。

      但[dan]这[zhe]个[ge]做[zuo]多[duo]的[de]时[shi]间[jian],除[chu]非[fei]是[shi]有[you]把[ba]握[wo]全[quan]天[tian]封[feng]涨[zhang]停[ting]的[de]品[pin]种[zhong],否[fu]则[ze]尽[jin]量[liang]安[an]排[pai]在[zai]尾[wei]市[shi],缩[suo]短[duan]T+1造[zao]成[cheng]的[de]被[bei]动[dong]持[chi]仓[cang]风[feng]险[xian]。

      对[dui]了[liao],在[zai]这[zhe]儿[er]再[zai]补[bu]充[chong]一[yi]句[ju]。涨[zhang]跌[die]停[ting]是[shi]10%的[de]最[zui]大[da]风[feng]险[xian]是[shi]2/11,也[ye]就[jiu]是[shi]说[shuo],前[qian]收[shou]盘[pan]10元[yuan],涨[zhang]停[ting]11元[yuan]买[mai]入[ru],跌[die]2元[yuan]到[dao]跌[die]停[ting],9元[yuan]收[shou]盘[pan]。如[ru]果[guo]是[shi]涨[zhang]跌[die]停[ting]20%的[de]话[hua],那[na]就[jiu]4/12啦[la]!就[jiu]算[suan]是[shi]在[zai]20%涨[zhang]停[ting]前[qian]打[da]板[ban]成[cheng]功[gong],封[feng]了[liao]大[da]半[ban]天[tian],结[jie]果[guo]尾[wei]市[shi]“炸[zha]板[ban]儿[er]”了[liao],涨[zhang]幅[fu]缩[suo]到[dao]8%的[de]时[shi]候[hou],行[xing]情[qing]还[huai]是[shi]上[shang]涨[zhang]了[liao],但[dan]是[shi]你[ni]却[que]赔[pei]了[liao]现[xian]在[zai]的[de]“一[yi]个[ge]板[ban]儿[er]”的[de]空[kong]间[jian]了[liao]。所[suo]以[yi],注[zhu]册[ce]制[zhi]加[jia]20%涨[zhang]跌[die]停[ting],也[ye]不[bu]能[nen]全[quan]当[dang]利[li]好[hao]来[lai]理[li]解[jie]。

      跑[pao]题[ti]了[liao],拉[la]回[hui]来[lai]。空[kong]仓[cang]者[zhe]不[bu]开[kai]仓[cang]是[shi]上[shang]策[ce],开[kai]仓[cang]要[yao]慎[shen]重[zhong]。

      持[chi]股[gu]者[zhe]审[shen]仓[cang]。弃[qi]弱[ruo]留[liu]强[qiang]。

      结[jie]构[gou]化[hua]牛[niu]市[shi],局[ju]部[bu]牛[niu]市[shi],就[jiu]是[shi]你[ni]手[shou]里[li]的[de]股[gu]票[piao],可[ke]能[nen]不[bu]是[shi]牛[niu]市[shi]。

      但[dan]应[ying]该[gai]借[jie]普[pu]涨[zhang]的[de]时[shi]候[hou],观[guan]察[cha]一[yi]直[zhi]没[mei]戏[xi]的[de]个[ge]股[gu],是[shi]不[bu]是[shi]要[yao]进[jin]入[ru]加[jia]速[su]上[shang]涨[zhang]阶[jie]段[duan],是[shi]不[bu]是[shi]要[yao]变[bian]盘[pan]了[liao]?如[ru]果[guo]是[shi],那[na]就[jiu]持[chi]有[you]。否[fu]则[ze],借[jie]机[ji]换[huan]股[gu]。

      换[huan]股[gu]是[shi]个[ge]技[ji]术[shu]活[huo]儿[er],不[bu]说[shuo]别[bie]的[de]情[qing]况[kuang],只[zhi]说[shuo]这[zhe]一[yi]次[ci]。现[xian]在[zai]可[ke]以[yi]借[jie]高[gao]位[wei]先[xian]高[gao]抛[pao],之[zhi]后[hou]等[deng]回[hui]落[luo]的[de]时[shi]候[hou]观[guan]察[cha]。

      卖[mai]掉[diao]的[de]股[gu]票[piao]没[mei]跌[die],或[huo]跌[die]的[de]不[bu]深[shen],那[na]就[jiu]买[mai]回[hui]来[lai],冤[yuan]枉[wang]它[ta]了[liao]。如[ru]果[guo]卖[mai]掉[diao]之[zhi]后[hou],就[jiu]稀[xi]里[li]哗[hua]啦[la]的[de]跌[die]下[xia]去[qu]了[liao],那[na]就[jiu]别[bie]买[mai]了[liao],卖[mai]对[dui]了[liao]。这[zhe]时[shi]候[hou],该[gai]观[guan]察[cha]一[yi]下[xia],其[qi]它[ta]个[ge]股[gu]有[you]没[mei]有[you]坚[jian]持[chi]走[zou]强[qiang]的[de],就[jiu]换[huan]它[ta]。

      对[dui]于[yu]手[shou]中[zhong]的[de]强[qiang]市[shi]股[gu],要[yao]敢[gan]于[yu]持[chi]有[you],但[dan]也[ye]要[yao]有[you]一[yi]个[ge]“考[kao]核[he]”的[de]意[yi]识[shi]。也[ye]就[jiu]是[shi]说[shuo],当[dang]不[bu]再[zai]是[shi]强[qiang]市[shi]的[de]时[shi]候[hou],就[jiu]该[gai]放[fang]弃[qi],起[qi]码[ma]减[jian]仓[cang]。

      上[shang]涨[zhang]的[de]行[xing]情[qing]是[shi]要[yao]加[jia]以[yi]利[li]用[yong],但[dan]也[ye]要[yao]及[ji]时[shi]退[tui]出[chu],这[zhe]才[cai]是[shi]真[zhen]正[zheng]的[de]利[li]用[yong]的[de]好[hao]。

      二[er],账[zhang]户[hu]净[jing]值[zhi]涨[zhang]跌[die]不[bu]多[duo]。或[huo]目[mu]标[biao]品[pin]种[zhong]涨[zhang]跌[die]不[bu]多[duo],盘[pan]中[zhong]并[bing]无[wu]明[ming]显[xian]的[de]单[dan]边[bian]特[te]征[zheng]。或[huo]个[ge]股[gu]分[fen]化[hua],涨[zhang]跌[die]家[jia]数[shu]均[jun]大[da]于[yu]1000家[jia]。涨[zhang]跌[die]停[ting]家[jia]数[shu]可[ke]以[yi]作[zuo]为[wei]观[guan]察[cha]个[ge]股[gu]强[qiang]弱[ruo]的[de]窗[chuang]口[kou],但[dan]对[dui]涨[zhang]停[ting]家[jia]数[shu]的[de]要[yao]求[qiu]要[yao]高[gao]些[xie]。上[shang]证[zheng]指[zhi]数[shu]、沪[hu]深[shen]300指[zhi]数[shu]、上[shang]证[zheng]50指[zhi]数[shu]、中[zhong]证[zheng]500指[zhi]数[shu]涨[zhang]跌[die]不[bu]多[duo]。涨[zhang]跌[die]不[bu]多[duo]是[shi]指[zhi],“全[quan]日[ri]震[zhen]荡[dang]幅[fu]度[du]不[bu]大[da]”,但[dan]也[ye]包[bao]括[kuo]“冲[chong]高[gao]回[hui]落[luo]之[zhi]后[hou]的[de]涨[zhang]跌[die]不[bu]多[duo]”,以[yi]及[ji]“探[tan]底[di]回[hui]升[sheng]的[de]涨[zhang]跌[die]不[bu]多[duo]”,还[huai]有[you]“大[da]幅[fu]震[zhen]荡[dang]在[zai]收[shou]盘[pan]时[shi]的[de]涨[zhang]跌[die]不[bu]多[duo]”。各[ge]自[zi]为[wei]战[zhan],独[du]立[li]考[kao]核[he]。

      如[ru]果[guo]行[xing]情[qing]如[ru]是[shi],那[na]么[me]我[wo]们[men]认[ren]为[wei],该[gai]突[tu股票公式 获取前日期]破[po]时[shi]不[bu]突[tu]破[po],在[zai]这[zhe]里[li]晃[huang]悠[you]。市[shi]场[chang]还[huai]很[hen]犹[you]豫[yu]。

      但[dan]这[zhe]样[yang]的[de]犹[you]豫[yu],也[ye]是[shi]正[zheng]常[chang]的[de]。因[yin]为[wei]再[zai]涨[zhang]一[yi]波[bo],需[xu]要[yao]在[zai]这[zhe]里[li]堆[dui]砌[qi]一[yi]个[ge]高[gao]位[wei]的[de]高[gao]换[huan]手[shou]的[de]“楼[lou]层[ceng]”,现[xian]在[zai]是[shi]“天[tian]花[hua]板[ban]”,换[huan]手[shou]率[lv]够[gou]了[liao],才[cai]能[nen]变[bian]成[cheng]更[geng]上[shang]一[yi]层[ceng]楼[lou]的[de]“地[di]板[ban]”。

      同[tong]时[shi],在[zai]这[zhe]里[li]震[zhen]荡[dang]做[zuo]头[tou],震[zhen]荡[dang]时[shi]间[jian]越[yue]久[jiu],对[dui]应[ying]的[de]下[xia]跌[die]时[shi]间[jian]、空[kong]间[jian]也[ye]就[jiu]越[yue]大[da]。这[zhe]是[shi]技[ji]术[shu]分[fen]析[xi]教[jiao]科[ke]书[shu]中[zhong]的[de]标[biao]准[zhun]定[ding]义[yi]。

      行[xing]情[qing]没[mei]突[tu]破[po]前[qian],不[bu]要[yao]猜[cai]测[ce]突[tu]破[po]方[fang]向[xiang]。可[ke]以[yi]选[xuan]择[ze]交[jiao]易[yi]方[fang]向[xiang],但[dan]不[bu]要[yao]笃[du]信[xin]不[bu]疑[yi]。

      操[cao]作[zuo]上[shang]:

      本[ben]基[ji]金[jin]审[shen]仓[cang],注[zhu]意[yi]减[jian]仓[cang]。

      前[qian]两[liang]周[zhou]增[zeng]仓[cang]的[de]部[bu]分[fen],股票公式 获取前日期全[quan]是[shi]认[ren]为[wei]该[gai]跳[tiao]水[shui]了[liao]。那[na]么[me],现[xian]在[zai]这[zhe]个[ge]“该[gai]跳[tiao]水[shui]”的[de]行[xing]情[qing]没[mei]走[zou]出[chu]来[lai]。已[yi]经[jing]由[you]和[he]预[yu]期[qi]走[zou]势[shi]“不[bu]太[tai]一[yi]样[yang]”到[dao]“太[tai]不[bu]一[yi]样[yang]”了[liao],那[na]就[jiu]收[shou]手[shou]吧[ba]!

      同[tong]样[yang],可[ke]以[yi]参[can]照[zhao]“一[yi]”来[lai]做[zuo]日[ri]内[na]短[duan]多[duo]。只[zhi]要[yao]不[bu]出[chu]现[xian]大[da]涨[zhang],也[ye]可[ke]以[yi]及[ji]时[shi]补[bu]回[hui]空[kong]单[dan],不[bu]减[jian]仓[cang]。毕[bi]竟[jing]这[zhe]还[huai]处[chu]于[yu]建[jian]立[li]跟[gen]市[shi]头[tou]寸[cun]的[de]阶[jie]段[duan],仓[cang]位[wei]不[bu]重[zhong]。

      空[kong]仓[cang]者[zhe]暂[zan]不[bu]开[kai]仓[cang]为[wei]上[shang]。参[can]照[zhao]“一[yi]”。

      持[chi]股[gu]者[zhe]审[shen]仓[cang]。放[fang]弃[qi]幻[huan]想[xiang],冷[ling]静[jing]看[kan]待[dai]手[shou]中[zhong]个[ge]股[gu]的[de]具[ju]体[ti]表[biao]现[xian]。

      就[jiu]算[suan]是[shi]行[xing]情[qing]走[zou]成[cheng]了[liao]“红[hong]浪[lang]”,只[zhi]要[yao]是[shi]所[suo]谓[wei]结[jie]构[gou]化[hua]的[de]牛[niu]市[shi],就[jiu]会[hui]有[you]个[ge]股[gu]在[zai]“熊[xiong]市[shi]”或[huo]“死[si]牛[niu]皮[pi]”之[zhi]中[zhong]。认[ren]真[zhen]审[shen]仓[cang]。参[can]照[zhao]“一[yi]”。

      三[san],股[gu]票[piao]账[zhang]户[hu]净[jing]值[zhi]大[da]跌[die]。或[huo]目[mu]标[biao]个[ge]股[gu]大[da]跌[die]。或[huo]个[ge]股[gu]普[pu]跌[die],跌[die]停[ting]家[jia]数[shu]大[da]于[yu]800家[jia],上[shang]涨[zhang]家[jia]数[shu]不[bu]足[zu]300家[jia]。上[shang]证[zheng]指[zhi]数[shu]、沪[hu]深[shen]300指[zhi]数[shu]、上[shang]证[zheng]50指[zhi]数[shu]、中[zhong]证[zheng]500指[zhi]数[shu]大[da]跌[die]。大[da]跌[die]是[shi]低[di]开[kai]低[di]走[zou],但[dan]也[ye]包[bao]括[kuo]假[jia]突[tu]破[po]之[zhi]后[hou]快[kuai]速[su]跳[tiao]水[shui],或[huo]者[zhe]震[zhen]荡[dang]之[zhi]后[hou]的[de]跳[tiao]水[shui],或[huo]者[zhe]阴[yin]跌[die]后[hou]的[de]加[jia]速[su]下[xia]跌[die],总[zong]之[zhi],行[xing]情[qing]走[zou]出[chu]确[que]认[ren]短[duan]期[qi]头[tou]部[bu]的[de]特[te]征[zheng]。各[ge]自[zi]为[wei]战[zhan],独[du]立[li]考[kao]核[he]。

      如[ru]果[guo]行[xing]情[qing]如[ru]是[shi],那[na]么[me]我[wo]们[men]认[ren]为[wei],短[duan]期[qi]头[tou]部[bu]确[que]认[ren]与[yu]否[fu]?还[huai]需[xu]要[yao]观[guan]察[cha]一[yi]次[ci]上[shang]涨[zhang]。下[xia]跌[die]趋[qu]势[shi]中[zhong],也[ye]有[you]跌[die]中[zhong]涨[zhang]。

      从[cong]估[gu]值[zhi]上[shang]看[kan],现[xian]在[zai]也[ye]需[xu]要[yao]价[jia]值[zhi]回[hui]归[gui]。股[gu]价[jia]回[hui]到[dao]低[di]位[wei],平[ping]均[jun]PE、PB下[xia]去[qu],YQ过[guo]去[qu],业[ye]绩[ji]回[hui]升[sheng],届[jie]时[shi]PE、PB自[zi]然[ran]又[you]下[xia]一[yi]个[ge]台[tai]阶[jie],就[jiu]估[gu]值[zhi]底[di]就[jiu]到[dao]了[liao]。甚[shen]至[zhi]于[yu]上[shang]涨[zhang]一[yi]些[xie],也[ye]能[nen]被[bei]回[hui]升[sheng]的[de]业[ye]绩[ji]所[suo]支[zhi]撑[cheng]。

      可[ke]是[shi],坚[jian]持[chi]在[zai]高[gao]位[wei],做[zuo]所[suo]谓[wei]的[de]“提[ti]前[qian]反[fan]应[ying]”。当[dang]业[ye]绩[ji]回[hui]升[sheng]时[shi],也[ye]就[jiu]“利[li]好[hao]兑[dui]现[xian]”了[liao],反[fan]而[er]要[yao]回[hui]落[luo]或[huo]震[zhen]荡[dang],等[deng]待[dai]经[jing]济[ji]进[jin]一[yi]步[bu]腾[teng]飞[fei]。

      所[suo]以[yi],所[suo]谓[wei]的[de]“挤[ji]泡[pao]沫[mo]”之[zhi]后[hou]出[chu]牛[niu]市[shi],就[jiu]是[shi]这[zhe]个[ge]原[yuan]因[yin]。

      还[huai]有[you],8.24就[jiu]要[yao]开[kai]始[shi]创[chuang]业[ye]板[ban]注[zhu]册[ce]制[zhi]了[liao]。我[wo]回[hui]看[kan]了[liao]一[yi]下[xia]科[ke]创[chuang]板[ban]“开[kai]张[zhang]”时[shi]的[de]位[wei]置[zhi]。

      如[ru]果[guo]说[shuo]这[zhe]两[liang]段[duan](红[hong]框[kuang]之[zhi]内[na])走[zou]势[shi]有[you]些[xie]神[shen]似[si],应[ying]该[gai]不[bu]算[suan]太[tai]牵[qian]强[qiang]吧[ba]?都[du]是[shi]“疯[feng]快[kuai]牛[niu]”之[zhi]后[hou]回[hui]落[luo],回[hui]落[luo]之[zhi]后[hou]反[fan]弹[dan],反[fan]弹[dan]之[zhi]后[hou]又[you]回[hui]落[luo],在[zai]回[hui]落[luo]震[zhen]荡[dang]中[zhong],就[jiu]迎[ying]来[lai]了[liao]“开[kai]张[zhang]”。科[ke]创[chuang]板[ban]“开[kai]张[zhang]”后[hou]又[you]冲[chong]了[liao]一[yi]小[xiao]下[xia],但[dan]也[ye]没[mei]冲[chong]多[duo]高[gao]。这[zhe]回[hui]呢[ne]?

      接[jie]下[xia]来[lai]还[huai]有[you]什[shi]么[me]需[xu]要[yao]为[wei]圈[quan]钱[qian]造[zao]气[qi]氛[fen]的[de]需[xu]要[yao]吗[ma]?如[ru]果[guo]没[mei]有[you],恐[kong]怕[pa]就[jiu]不[bu]会[hui]再[zai]出[chu]现[xian]“死[si]牛[niu]皮[pi]”了[liao],真[zhen]正[zheng]的[de]熊[xiong]市[shi],或[huo]者[zhe]说[shuo]真[zhen]正[zheng]的[de]牛[niu]市[shi]前[qian]的[de]最[zui]后[hou]一[yi]跌[die]——“蓝[lan]浪[lang]”或[huo]“绿[lv]浪[lang]”,就[jiu]要[yao]开[kai]始[shi]了[liao]。

      操[cao]作[zuo]上[shang]:

      本[ben]基[ji]金[jin]审[shen]仓[cang]现[xian]有[you]期[qi]指[zhi]空[kong]单[dan]。不[bu]是[shi]考[kao]虑[lv]增[zeng]仓[cang]的[de]必[bi]要[yao]性[xing],恰[qia]恰[qia]是[shi]考[kao]虑[lv]减[jian]仓[cang]的[de]必[bi]要[yao]性[xing]。

      减[jian]仓[cang],是[shi]为[wei]了[liao]更[geng]好[hao]的[de]守[shou]仓[cang],减[jian]仓[cang]兑[dui]现[xian]利[li]润[run],把[ba]利[li]润[run]安[an]全[quan]垫[dian]做[zuo]厚[hou],才[cai]是[shi]“坚[jian]决[jue]持[chi]仓[cang]”的[de]交[jiao]易[yi]行[xing]为[wei]。

      没[mei]有[you]只[zhi]跌[die]不[bu]涨[zhang]的[de]行[xing]情[qing],当[dang]经[jing]过[guo]一[yi]波[bo]反[fan]弹[dan],还[huai]不[bu]能[nen]恢[hui]复[fu]上[shang]涨[zhang]趋[qu]势[shi]时[shi],这[zhe]时[shi]候[hou],再[zai]重[zhong]新[xin]算[suan]仓[cang]开[kai]仓[cang],才[cai]是[shi]真[zhen]正[zheng]的[de]增[zeng]仓[cang]。

      当[dang]然[ran],如[ru]果[guo]盘[pan]中[zhong]下[xia]跌[die]坚[jian]决[jue],而[er]且[qie]日[ri]内[na]下[xia]跌[die]重[zhong]合[he]浪[lang]出[chu]现[xian],也[ye]可[ke]以[yi]增[zeng]仓[cang]做[zuo]短[duan]多[duo]。除[chu]非[fei]是[shi]行[xing]情[qing]下[xia]跌[die]的[de]非[fei]常[chang]强[qiang](注[zhu]意[yi],这[zhe]是[shi]强[qiang]弱[ruo]的[de]正[zheng]确[que]用[yong]法[fa],不[bu]是[shi]涨[zhang]就[jiu]是[shi]强[qiang],跌[die]就[jiu]是[shi]弱[ruo],涨[zhang]跌[die]是[shi]方[fang]向[xiang],不[bu]是[shi]强[qiang]弱[ruo],这[zhe]是[shi]长[chang]年[nian]“多[duo]头[tou]单[dan]边[bian]交[jiao]易[yi]制[zhi]度[du]”造[zao]成[cheng]的[de]误[wu]区[qu]),那[na]就[jiu]自[zi]然[ran]把[ba]日[ri]内[na]交[jiao]易[yi]头[tou]寸[cun]转[zhuan]换[huan]为[wei]跟[gen]市[shi]头[tou]寸[cun]。

      但[dan]这[zhe]个[ge]跟[gen]市[shi]头[tou]寸[cun]并[bing]不[bu]结[jie]实[shi],只[zhi]要[yao]多[duo]方[fang]稍[shao]强[qiang],空[kong]方[fang]略[lue]弱[ruo],就[jiu]要[yao]减[jian]仓[cang]。

      目[mu]前[qian]只[zhi]是[shi]在[zai]“如[ru]意[yi]算[suan]盘[pan]”的[de]初[chu]期[qi],还[huai]不[bu]必[bi]仓[cang]位[wei]太[tai]重[zhong]。

      如[ru]果[guo]三[san]月[yue]跳[tiao]水[shui]之[zhi]后[hou]的[de]反[fan]弹[dan]回[hui]升[sheng]转[zhuan]“疯[feng]快[kuai]牛[niu]”的[de]戏[xi]码[ma]儿[er]重[zhong]演[yan],到[dao]时[shi]候[hou]注[zhu]意[yi]减[jian]仓[cang]做[zuo]多[duo]避[bi]险[xian]就[jiu]是[shi]了[liao],也[ye]不[bu]能[nen]放[fang]弃[qi]“趋[qu]势[shi]信[xin]仰[yang]”。

      行[xing]情[qing]总[zong]该[gai]会[hui]有[you]趋[qu]势[shi]的[de],古[gu]今[jin]中[zhong]外[wai]的[de]行[xing]情[qing]走[zou]势[shi],长[chang]年[nian]在[zai]“病[bing]慢[man]牛[niu]”、“死[si]牛[niu]皮[pi]”、“疯[feng]快[kuai]牛[niu]”中[zhong]交[jiao]替[ti]的[de]可[ke]能[nen]性[xing],既[ji]不[bu]合[he]乎[hu]常[chang]理[li],也[ye]是[shi]史[shi]无[wu]前[qian]例[li]的[de]。

      就[jiu]算[suan]真[zhen]的[de]再[zai]次[ci]出[chu]现[xian]“死[si]牛[niu]皮[pi]”、“病[bing]慢[man]牛[niu]”,那[na]也[ye]是[shi]行[xing]情[qing]仍[reng]在[zai]为[wei]一[yi]个[ge]更[geng]大[da]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]性[xing]行[xing]情[qing]做[zuo]酝[yun]酿[niang],而[er]不[bu]是[shi]开[kai]始[shi]了[liao]什[shi]么[me]“新[xin]常[chang]态[tai]”。

      如[ru]果[guo]真[zhen]是[shi]“新[xin]常[chang]态[tai]”了[liao],那[na]是[shi]“真[zhen]病[bing]态[tai]”开[kai]始[shi]了[liao],我[wo]将[jiang]转[zhuan]战[zhan]“保[bao]证[zheng]金[jin]翻[fan]倍[bei]”的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]性[xing]和[he]弹[dan]性[xing],都[du]仍[reng]然[ran]很[hen]好[hao]的[de]期[qi]债[zhai]或[huo]商[shang]品[pin]期[qi]货[huo]。这[zhe]些[xie]品[pin]种[zhong]是[shi]我[wo]的[de]“新[xin]欢[huan]”,股[gu]市[shi]才[cai]是[shi]我[wo]的[de]“旧[jiu]爱[ai]”。别[bie]逼[bi]我[wo]“离[li]婚[hun]”。呵[he]呵[he]!

      空[kong]仓[cang]者[zhe]不[bu]必[bi]开[kai]仓[cang]。参[can]照[zhao]“一[yi]”、参[can]照[zhao]“二[er]”。

      持[chi]股[gu]者[zhe]清[qing]仓[cang]为[wei]上[shang]。参[can]照[zhao]“一[yi]”、参[can]照[zhao]“二[er]”。

      以[yi]上[shang],就[jiu]是[shi]星[xing]期[qi]一[yi]不[bu]同[tong]仓[cang]况[kuang]应[ying]对[dui]不[bu]同[tong]市[shi]况[kuang]的[de]交[jiao]易[yi]策[ce]略[lue],如[ru]未[wei]出[chu]现[xian]需[xu]要[yao]调[diao]整[zheng]交[jiao]易[yi]策[ce]略[lue]的[de]变[bian]化[hua],这[zhe]也[ye]是[shi]未[wei]来[lai]几[ji]日[ri]的[de]交[jiao]易[yi]策[ce]略[lue],仅[jin]供[gong]参[can]考[kao]。其[qi]中[zhong],“本[ben]基[ji]金[jin]”说[shuo]的[de]就[jiu]是[shi]刘[liu]子[zi]股[gu]斋[zhai]旗[qi]下[xia]基[ji]金[jin]的[de]交[jiao]易[yi]预[yu]案[an],录[lu]以[yi]备[bei]忘[wang]。

      本[ben]文[wen]摘[zhai]自[zi]=》

      2020-8-17星[xing]期[qi]一[yi]至[zhi]2020-8-21

      星[xing]期[qi]

      五[wu]

      刘[liu]子[zi]盘[pan]中[zhong]解[jie]盘[pan]

      刘[liu]子[zi]股[gu]斋[zhai]主[zhu]人[ren]于[yu]刘[liu]子[zi]股[gu]斋[zhai]

      2020-8-16 18:11:39星[xing]期[qi]日[ri]

      到[dao]

      主[zhu]页[ye]

      点[dian]一[yi]下[xia]关[guan]注[zhu]按[an]钮[niu],以[yi]后[hou]再[zai]有[you]新[xin]文[wen]章[zhang]就[jiu]会[hui]在[zai]第[di]一[yi]时[shi]间[jian]被[bei]提[ti]醒[xing]。

      我[wo]的[de]更[geng]多[duo]文[wen]章[zhang]: 刘[liu]子[zi]股[gu]斋[zhai]学[xue]员[yuan]为[wei]《波[bo]浪[lang]实[shi]战[zhan]十[shi]三[san]讲[jiang]》作[zuo]序[xu] 散[san]户[hu]是[shi]我[wo]的[de]老[lao]师[shi](后[hou]记[ji]) 套[tao]牢[lao]者[zhe]的[de]心[xin]理[li]学[xue] 反[fan]弹[dan]会[hui]改[gai]变[bian]趋[qu]势[shi]吗[ma]? 第[di]十[shi]二[er]讲[jiang]亚[ya]当[dang]理[li]论[lun]在[zai]波[bo]浪[lang]理[li]论[lun]中[zhong]的[de]应[ying]用[yong] 刘[liu]子[zi]思[si]想[xiang]系[xi]列[lie]讲[jiang]座[zuo] 第[di]七[qi]讲[jiang]重[zhong]合[he]位[wei] 刘[liu]子[zi]戴[dai]孝[xiao]解[jie]盘[pan]论[lun]孝[xiao]集[ji]——新[xin]浪[lang]重[zhong]发[fa](2011-8-17)


      假如看了上文,我觉得大伙应当了解"[股票公式 获取前日期]教你2020年8月17日星期一考核行情要求及交易策略"了吧?已经在上文教授了大家,相信各位看完之后一定能够正确学会哦

      转载请注明来自,本文标题:2020年8月17日星期一考核行情要求及交易策略
      本文地址:http://www.nueyes.cn/gupiaogongshizhibiao/4046.html

      标签: 股票公式 获取前日期

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