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      当前位置: 牛股配资网 > 证券配资 > 中国从其他国家进口大豆,美国豆农焦虑绝望

      中国从其他国家进口大豆,美国豆农焦虑绝望

      2020-09-08 0条评论

      邱[qiu] 林[lin]

      近[jin]来[lai],美[mei]国[guo]大[da]豆[dou]就[jiu]是[shi]一[yi]个[ge]热[re]门[men]词[ci]语[yu],热[re]到[dao]足[zu]以[yi]牵[qian]动[dong]人[ren]心[xin]的[de]地[di]步[bu]。大[da]豆[dou]之[zhi]所[suo]以[yi]能[nen]牵[qian]动[dong]中[zhong]美[mei]两[liang]国[guo]的[de]人[ren]心[xin],在[zai]于[yu]中[zhong]国[guo]从[cong]美[mei]国[guo]购[gou]买[mai]最[zui]多[duo]的[de]农[nong]产[chan]品[pin]就[jiu]是[shi]大[da]豆[dou]。因[yin]此[ci],美[mei]国[guo]豆[dou]农[nong]的[de]笑[xiao]与[yu]哭[ku],想[xiang]来[lai]人[ren]们[men]都[du]看[kan]得[de]多[duo]了[liao]。接[jie]下[xia]来[lai]为[wei]大[da]家[jia]介[jie]绍[shao]"[盛[sheng]谷[gu]策[ce]略[lue]]浅[qian]析[xi]中[zhong]国[guo]从[cong]其[qi]他[ta]国[guo]家[jia]进[jin]口[kou]大[da]豆[dou],美[mei]国[guo]豆[dou]农[nong]焦[jiao]虑[lv]绝[jue]望[wang]"我[wo]们[men]一[yi]起[qi]来[lai]认[ren]识[shi]一[yi]下[xia]吧[b盛谷策略a]
      中[zhong]国[guo]从[cong]其[qi]他[ta]国[guo]家[jia]进[jin]口[kou]大[da]豆[dou],美[mei]国[guo]豆[dou]农[nong]焦[jiao]虑[lv]绝[jue]望[wang]

      让[rang]美[mei]国[guo]豆[dou]农[nong]牵[qian]肠[chang]挂[gua]肚[du]的[de]是[shi],由[you]于[yu]中[zhong]美[mei]关[guan]系[xi]紧[jin]张[zhang],中[zhong]国[guo]从[cong]美[mei]国[guo]进[jin]口[kou]的[de]大[da]豆[dou]数[shu]量[liang]持[chi]续[xu]减[jian]少[shao]。中[zhong]国[guo]海[hai]关[guan]总[zong]署[shu]8月[yue]7日[ri]发[fa]布[bu]的[de]贸[mao]易[yi]统[tong]计[ji]显[xian]示[shi],在[zai]今[jin]年[nian]4月[yue]以[yi]后[hou],中[zhong]国[guo]进[jin]口[kou]美[mei]国[guo]大[da]豆[dou]数[shu]量[liang]持[chi]续[xu]减[jian]少[shao]。截[jie]至[zhi]今[jin]年[nian]6月[yue],中[zhong]国[guo]自[zi]美[mei]国[guo]的[de]大[da]豆[dou]进[jin]口[kou]与[yu]2019年[nian]同[tong]比[bi]下[xia]降[jiang]56%。

      美[mei]国[guo]大[da]豆[dou]中[zhong]国[guo]有[you]什[shi]么[me]离[li]不[bu]开[kai]的[de]呢[ne]?答[da]案[an]是[shi]肯[ken]定[ding]的[de]。大[da]豆[dou]是[shi]最[zui]容[rong]易[yi]替[ti]代[dai]的[de]农[nong]产[chan]品[pin]之[zhi]一[yi],中[zhong]国[guo]从[cong]美[mei]国[guo]减[jian]少[shao]大[da]豆[dou]进[jin]口[kou],而[er]中[zhong]国[guo]从[cong]巴[ba]西[xi]、阿[a]根[gen]廷[ting]、加[jia]拿[na]大[da]和[he]俄[e]罗[luo]斯[si]大[da]豆[dou]进[jin]口[kou]却[que]持[chi]续[xu]增[zeng]加[jia]。这[zhe]些[xie]国[guo]家[jia]都[du]巴[ba]不[bu]得[de]把[ba]美[mei]国[guo]的[de]大[da]豆[dou]从[cong]中[zhong]国[guo]市[shi]场[chang]挤[ji]走[zou]。目[mu]前[qian],巴[ba]西[xi]已[yi]经[jing]成[cheng]为[wei]超[chao]过[guo]美[mei]国[guo]的[de]中[zhong]国[guo]第[di]一[yi]大[da]大[da]豆[dou]进[jin]口[kou]来[lai]源[yuan]地[di]。

      据[ju]中[zhong]国[guo]海[hai]关[guan]统[tong]计[ji],中[zhong]国[guo]从[cong]从[cong]巴[ba]西[xi]、阿[a]根[gen]廷[ting]、加[jia]拿[na]大[da]和[he]俄[e]罗[luo]斯[si]进[jin]口[kou]的[de]大[da]豆[dou]自[zi]今[jin]年[nian]5月[yue]起[qi]连[lian]续[xu]3个[ge]月[yue]增[zeng]加[jia]。其[qi]中[zhong],今[jin]年[nian]6月[yue]中[zhong]国[guo]进[jin]口[kou]巴[ba]西[xi]大[da]豆[dou]1051万[wan]吨[dun],较[jiao]2019年[nian]同[tong]期[qi]的[de]550万[wan]吨[dun]跃[yue]升[sheng]91%,较[jiao]今[jin]年[nian]5月[yue]的[de]886万[wan]吨[dun]增[zeng]加[jia]18.6%。

      阿[a]根[gen]廷[ting]人[ren]更[geng]精[jing]明[ming],为[wei]了[liao]增[zeng]加[jia]出[chu]口[kou]附[fu]加[jia]值[zhi],他[ta]们[men]将[jiang]大[da]豆[dou]经[jing]过[guo]压[ya]榨[zha]加[jia]工[gong]转[zhuan]化[hua]为[wei]豆[dou]油[you],再[zai]对[dui]中[zhong]国[guo]出[chu]口[kou]。6月[yue]末[mo],2.9万[wan]吨[dun]豆[dou]油[you]在[zai]阿[a]根[gen]廷[ting]罗[luo]萨[sa]里[li]奥[ao]谷[gu]物[wu]中[zhong]心[xin]附[fu]近[jin]的[de]港[gang]口[kou]装[zhuang]船[chuan]。另[ling]外[wai],两[liang]艘[sou]装[zhuang]满[man]了[liao]豆[dou]油[you]的[de]船[chuan]亦[yi]发[fa]往[wang]中[zhong]国[guo],总[zong]量[liang]为[wei]9万[wan]吨[dun]。

      “美[mei]国[guo]人[ren]需[xu]要[yao]一[yi]个[ge]教[jiao]训[xun]”,越[yue]来[lai]越[yue]多[duo]的[de]中[zhong]国[guo]人[ren]开[kai]始[shi]忿[fen]忿[fen]地[di]这[zhe]样[yang]想[x盛谷策略iang]。倒[dao]是[shi]美[mei]国[guo]为[wei]了[liao]维[wei]持[chi]工[gong]业[ye]生[sheng]产[chan],要[yao]从[cong]中[zhong]国[guo]进[jin]口[kou]许[xu]多[duo]中[zhong]间[jian]产[chan]品[pin]和[he]日[ri]用[yong]消[xiao]费[fei]品[pin]。如[ru]果[guo]这[zhe]些[xie]产[chan]品[pin]断[duan]了[liao]档[dang],要[yao]找[zhao]到[dao]替[ti]代[dai]中[zhong]国[guo]的[de]出[chu]口[kou]商[shang],可[ke]比[bi]中[zhong]国[guo]替[ti]代[dai]美[mei]国[guo]大[da盛谷策略]豆[dou]难[nan]多[duo]了[liao]。如[ru]果[guo]美[mei]国[guo]政[zheng]府[fu]非[fei]要[yao]打[da]场[chang]贸[mao]易[yi]战[zhan]显[xian]示[shi]华[hua]盛[sheng]顿[dun]的[de]腿[tui]到[dao]底[di]有[you]多[duo]粗[cu],那[na]就[jiu]痛[tong]痛[tong]快[kuai]快[kuai]打[da]一[yi]场[chang]好[hao]了[liao],谁[shui]怕[pa]谁[shui]啊[a]。

      中[zhong]国[guo]大[da]幅[fu]减[jian]少[shao]进[jin]口[kou]美[mei]国[guo]大[da]豆[dou],造[zao]成[cheng]美[mei]国[guo]大[da]豆[dou]生[sheng]产[chan]降[jiang]至[zhi]几[ji]十[shi]年[nian]来[lai]的[de]低[di]点[dian],美[mei]国[guo]农[nong]民[min]不[bu]得[de]不[bu]改[gai]种[zhong]新[xin]的[de]农[nong]作[zuo]物[wu]。美[mei]国[guo]农[nong]业[ye]部[bu]门[men]的[de]统[tong]计[ji]显[xian]示[shi],35年[nian]来[lai],美[mei]国[guo]小[xiao]麦[mai]和[he]玉[yu]米[mi]的[de]种[zhong]植[zhi]面[mian]积[ji]将[jiang]首[shou]次[ci]超[chao]过[guo]大[da]豆[dou]。美[mei]国[guo]业[ye]界[jie]人[ren]士[shi]认[ren]为[wei],如[ru]果[guo]这[zhe]样[yang]的[de]局[ju]面[mian]一[yi]直[zhi]持[chi]续[xu],美[mei]国[guo]2021年[nian]恐[kong]将[jiang]出[chu]现[xian]“农[nong]业[ye]危[wei]机[ji]”。

      其[qi]实[shi],美[mei]国[guo]豆[dou]农[nong]糟[zao]糕[gao]的[de]日[ri]子[zi]是[shi]从[cong]2018年[nian]7月[yue]开[kai]始[shi]的[de]。针[zhen]对[dui]美[mei]国[guo]对[dui]中[zhong]国[guo]产[chan]品[pin]大[da]幅[fu]征[zheng]收[shou]关[guan]税[shui],当[dang]月[yue],中[zhong]国[guo]宣[xuan]布[bu]对[dui]美[mei]国[guo]大[da]豆[dou]开[kai]始[shi]征[zheng]收[shou]25%的[de]报[bao]复[fu]性[xing]关[guan]税[shui]。随[sui]后[hou],关[guan]税[shui]让[rang]美[mei]国[guo]2018年[nian]9月[yue]出[chu]口[kou]到[dao]中[zhong]国[guo]的[de]大[da]豆[dou]降[jiang]到[dao]了[liao]最[zui]低[di]点[dian],13.2万[wan]吨[dun],这[zhe]一[yi]数[shu]字[zi]与[yu]2017年[nian]同[tong]期[qi]相[xiang]比[bi],下[xia]降[jiang]了[liao]整[zheng]整[zheng]86%。失[shi]去[qu]了[liao]中[zhong]国[guo]的[de]市[shi]场[chang],也[ye]让[rang]美[mei]国[guo]2018年[nian]9月[yue]的[de]大[da]豆[dou]出[chu]口[kou]总[zong]量[liang]骤[zhou]然[ran]下[xia]降[jiang]28%。

      值[zhi]得[de]注[zhu]意[yi]的[de]是[shi],由[you]于[yu]大[da]豆[dou]出[chu]口[kou]持[chi]续[xu]下[xia]降[jiang],导[dao]致[zhi]美[mei]国[guo]许[xu]多[duo]生[sheng]产[chan]大[da]豆[dou]的[de]农[nong]场[chang]或[huo]经[jing]营[ying]公[gong]司[si]破[po]产[chan]。据[ju]美[mei]国[guo]农[nong]业[ye]局[ju]联[lian]合[he]会[hui]和[he]美[mei]联[lian]储[chu]等[deng]机[ji]构[gou]公[gong]布[bu]的[de]数[shu]据[ju]综[zong]合[he]统[tong]计[ji],2018和[he]2019年[nian],美[mei]国[guo]共[gong]有[you]1093个[ge]相[xiang]关[guan]农[nong]场[chang]破[po]产[chan]。而[er]美[mei]国[guo]经[jing]济[ji]高[gao]达[da]近[jin]24万[wan]亿[yi]美[mei]元[yuan]的[de]债[zhai]务[wu]总[zong]额[e],几[ji]乎[hu]无[wu]力[li]应[ying]对[dui]美[mei]国[guo]农[nong]场[chang]的[de]破[po]产[chan]潮[chao]。

      有[you]人[ren]说[shuo],这[zhe]是[shi]一[yi]场[chang]不[bu]可[ke]避[bi]免[mian]的[de]破[po]产[chan]潮[chao],它[ta]就[jiu]像[xiang]上[shang]世[shi]纪[ji]30年[nian]代[dai]的[de]经[jing]济[ji]大[da]萧[xiao]条[tiao]一[yi]样[yang],工[gong]人[ren]们[men]接[jie]连[lian]失[shi]业[ye],养[yang]殖[zhi]户[hu]濒[bin]临[lin]破[po]产[chan]。对[dui]于[yu]了[liao]解[jie]那[na]段[duan]历[li]史[shi]的[de]人[ren]都[du]知[zhi]道[dao],农[nong]场[chang]主[zhu]们[men]宁[ning]愿[yuan]把[ba]牛[niu]奶[nai]倒[dao]进[jin]下[xia]水[shui]道[dao]里[li],也[ye]不[bu]愿[yuan]拿[na]出[chu]去[qu]卖[mai],对[dui]他[ta]们[men]来[lai]说[shuo]倒[dao]掉[diao]尚[shang]且[qie]不[bu]会[hui]赚[zhuan]钱[qian],但[dan]拿[na]出[chu]去[qu]卖[mai]反[fan]倒[dao]会[hui]亏[kui]钱[qian],现[xian]在[zai]的[de]美[mei]国[guo]豆[dou]民[min]便[bian]遇[yu]上[shang]了[liao]当[dang]时[shi]一[yi]样[yang]的[de]状[zhuang]况[kuang]。

      彭[peng]博[bo]社[she]日[ri]前[qian]的[de]一[yi]篇[pian]报[bao]道[dao]称[chen],中[zhong]国[guo]加[jia]大[da]对[dui]巴[ba]西[xi]和[he]阿[a]根[gen]廷[ting]大[da]豆[dou]的[de]采[cai]购[gou]量[liang],美[mei]国[guo]豆[dou]农[nong]却[que]要[yao]遭[zao]殃[yang]了[liao]。该[gai]社[she]引[yin]用[yong]国[guo]际[ji]粮[liang]商[shang]邦[bang]基[ji]的[de]说[shuo]法[fa]:“他[ta]们[men](中[zhong]国[guo])从[cong]加[jia]拿[na]大[da]、巴[ba]西[xi]……主[zhu]要[yao]是[shi]巴[ba]西[xi]购[gou]买[mai]大[da]豆[dou],但[dan]无[wu]论[lun]买[mai]什[shi]么[me]都[du]不[bu]从[cong]美[mei]国[guo]买[mai]。”

      事[shi]实[shi]上[shang],这[zhe]种[zhong]结[jie]局[ju]多[duo]半[ban]是[shi]美[mei]国[guo]政[zheng]府[fu]没[mei]预[yu]料[liao]到[dao]的[de]:中[zhong]国[guo]找[zhao]到[dao]大[da]豆[dou]进[jin]口[kou]的[de]替[ti]代[dai]国[guo],让[rang]巴[ba]西[xi]、阿[a]根[gen]廷[ting]、加[jia]拿[na]大[da]、俄[e]罗[luo]斯[si]的[de]豆[dou]农[nong]从[cong]中[zhong]受[shou]益[yi]。而[er]中[zhong]国[guo]大[da]幅[fu]减[jian]少[shao]从[cong]美[mei]国[guo]进[jin]口[kou]大[da]豆[dou],最[zui]终[zhong]让[rang]美[mei]国[guo]豆[dou]农[nong]焦[jiao]虑[lv]绝[jue]望[wang]。


      我觉得现在大家明白"[盛谷策略]浅析中国从其他国家进口大豆,美国豆农焦虑绝望"了吧?已经在上述文章带领大家进行了一个详细的了解,希望上文的讲述能对大家起到帮助的作用哦

      转载请注明来自,本文标题:中国从其他国家进口大豆,美国豆农焦虑绝望
      本文地址:http://www.nueyes.cn/zhengquanpeizi/3441.html

      标签: 盛谷策略

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